LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
Match Winner leads at 81.5%, ahead of Game 2 Winner (72.5%) and Game 1 Winner (71.5%).
- 24h volume
- $86.0K
- Total volume
- $132.8K
- Whales
- 6
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Match Winner$91.8K vol81.5%+2.0Game 2 Winner$580 vol72.5%+1.0Game 1 Winner$3.6K vol71.5%-Duration O/U 31:30$11 vol67.0%-Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?$1.6K vol59.5%-Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?$149 vol57.0%-Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)$14.4K vol56.5%+1.0Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.5%+0.5Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.5%+0.5Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.5%+0.5Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%−1.5Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%−1.5Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%+1.0Any Player Penta Kill50.0%+1.0Duration O/U 31:3050.0%-Duration O/U 31:3050.0%-Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49.5%−0.5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49.5%−0.5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49.5%−0.5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49.5%−0.5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49.5%−0.5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49.5%−0.5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?42.5%-O/U 2.5 Games$20.5K vol40.5%+2.0Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?$170 vol40.5%-Any Player Penta Kill$5 vol1.5%−4.0Any Player Penta Kill1.5%+0.5Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.
Market read
Who leads the LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give Match Winner a 82% chance, ahead of Game 2 Winner at 73% and Game 1 Winner at 72%. 27 outcomes are listed. Match Winner has risen from 50% on Oct 26 to 82% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 2.0 points.
Where is the whale money going?
Our tracker has logged 9 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 6 wallets since Oct 27, $198.6K in all. The most whale money went to Karmine Corp on Match Winner: $145.6K, 73% of the total. The largest single bet was $74.3K on Karmine Corp on Match Winner at 81¢ by @jakepaulthegoat2008 on Oct 29. $132.8K has been traded in total, $86.0K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Oct 30, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Karmine Corp and CTBC Flying Oyster in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against CTBC Flying Oyster.
This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win the match against Karmine Corp.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.