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MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 30-35% leads at 28.0%, ahead of Democrat 35-40% (19.8%) and Democrat 25-30% (13.5%).

24h volume
$551
Total volume
$17.3K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 30-35%$2.7K vol28.0%-Buy Yes 28.0¢Buy No 72.0¢
Democrat 35-40%$3.4K vol19.8%−0.3Buy Yes 19.8¢Buy No 80.2¢
Democrat 25-30%$4.1K vol13.5%+3.1Buy Yes 13.5¢Buy No 86.5¢
Democrat 0-5%$869 vol10.1%+4.8Buy Yes 10.1¢Buy No 90.0¢
Democrat 45%+$734 vol5.2%+0.1Buy Yes 5.2¢Buy No 94.8¢
Democrat 40-45%$2.7K vol3.9%−4.5Buy Yes 3.9¢Buy No 96.1¢
Democrat 20-25%$864 vol3.6%−1.1Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.3¢
Democrat 5-15%$1.2K vol3.5%-Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢
Democrat 15-20%$337 vol2.9%−1.2Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.0¢
Republican Wins$402 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.