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MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 80-85% leads at 30.5%, ahead of Democrat 85-90% (24.5%) and Democrat 75-80% (16.5%).

24h volume
$43
Total volume
$23.7K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 80-85%$4.1K vol30.5%+1.0Buy Yes 30.5¢Buy No 69.5¢
Democrat 85-90%$2.9K vol24.5%+1.5Buy Yes 24.5¢Buy No 75.5¢
Democrat 75-80%$3.2K vol16.5%-Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢
Democrat 65-70%$2.7K vol12.6%−0.6Buy Yes 12.6¢Buy No 87.4¢
Democrat 70-75%$2.2K vol10.4%−0.1Buy Yes 10.4¢Buy No 89.6¢
Democrat 90%+$1.2K vol5.2%−0.1Buy Yes 5.2¢Buy No 94.8¢
Democrat 0-50%$664 vol0.25%−0.1Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢
Democrat 60-65%$3.0K vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢
Democrat 50-60%$3.1K vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢
Republican Wins$683 vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.