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MD-05 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 45-50% leads at 37.0%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% (27.0%) and Democrat 50-55% (13.4%).

24h volume
$60
Total volume
$7.7K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 45-50%$1.9K vol37.0%-Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢
Democrat 40-45%$1.6K vol27.0%+1.0Buy Yes 27.0¢Buy No 73.0¢
Democrat 50-55%$352 vol13.4%+9.8Buy Yes 13.4¢Buy No 86.7¢
Democrat 30-35%$369 vol11.9%+0.4Buy Yes 11.9¢Buy No 88.1¢
Democrat 35-40%$449 vol11.5%−9.4Buy Yes 11.5¢Buy No 88.5¢
Democrat 15-25%$1.6K vol4.2%−0.1Buy Yes 4.2¢Buy No 95.8¢
Republican Wins$194 vol3.2%+0.1Buy Yes 3.2¢Buy No 96.8¢
Democrat 25-30%$228 vol2.9%−0.4Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.1¢
Democrat 55%+$417 vol2.6%−0.3Buy Yes 2.6¢Buy No 97.4¢
Democrat 0-15%$512 vol0.75%+0.3Buy Yes 0.8¢Buy No 99.3¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.