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MLB Postseason: Home Run Leader

ActiveMLB28 outcomesEnds Nov 16, 2026

Ben Rice leads at 63.0%, ahead of Yandy Díaz (10.5%) and Jackson Chourio (5.5%).

24h volume
$387
Total volume
$8.6K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Source: Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 28Chance24h
1Ben Rice$3.1K vol63.0%+4.0
2Yandy Díaz$75 vol10.5%+0.5
3Jackson Chourio$368 vol5.5%−5.6
4Junior Caminero$159 vol4.5%-
5Jake Bauers$1.2K vol3.8%-
6Jonathan Aranda$527 vol2.0%−0.5
7Matt Olson$60 vol · resolved0.0%−9.5
8Luis García Jr.$65 vol · resolved0.0%−18.5
9Shohei Ohtani$307 vol · resolved0.0%−7.4
10Max Muncy$374 vol · resolved0.0%−37.5
11Willson Contreras$60 vol · resolved0.0%−13.0
12Michael Harris II$60 vol · resolved0.0%−9.5

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Market read

Who leads the MLB Postseason: Home Run Leader market on Polymarket?

Polymarket traders give Ben Rice a 63% chance, ahead of Yandy Díaz at 11% and Jackson Chourio at 6%. 28 outcomes are listed, 22 of them already resolved. Ben Rice has risen from 14% on Oct 19 to 62% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 4.0 points.

Where is the whale money going?

No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $8.6K has been traded in total, $387 of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 16, 2026.

Resolution rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB Postseason with the most home runs.

In the event of a tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the higher slugging percentage across the 2026 MLB Postseason. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

Only home runs in 2026 MLB Postseason games will count toward this market. The 2026 MLB Postseason comprises the Wild Card Series, the Division Series, the League Championship Series, and the World Series. Regular season games, exhibition games, and any tiebreaker or "Game 163" will not be considered part of the 2026 MLB Postseason. The "Other" market will resolve to "Yes" if the player who leads is not among the listed players.

If the 2026 MLB Postseason is cancelled, or the World Series has not concluded by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, every named player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.