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MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 45-50% leads at 24.4%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% (23.2%) and Democrat 50-55% (18.3%).

24h volume
$398
Total volume
$13.2K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 45-50%$1.3K vol24.4%−3.5Buy Yes 24.4¢Buy No 75.5¢
Democrat 40-45%$3.6K vol23.2%−8.6Buy Yes 23.2¢Buy No 76.8¢
Democrat 50-55%$1.6K vol18.3%−2.9Buy Yes 18.3¢Buy No 81.8¢
Democrat 35-40%$3.0K vol14.4%+0.2Buy Yes 14.4¢Buy No 85.6¢
Democrat 60%+$476 vol11.5%+1.8Buy Yes 11.5¢Buy No 88.5¢
Democrat 0-20%$944 vol3.5%+0.8Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢
Democrat 20-30%$297 vol3.0%-Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢
Democrat 55-60%$767 vol2.8%−0.1Buy Yes 2.8¢Buy No 97.3¢
Democrat 30-35%$771 vol2.4%-Buy Yes 2.4¢Buy No 97.7¢
Republican Wins$465 vol0.35%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.