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MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 30%+ leads at 60.7%, ahead of Republican 25-30% (16.5%) and Republican 20-25% (9.0%).

24h volume
$519
Total volume
$16.2K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 30%+$6.1K vol60.7%−2.6Buy Yes 60.7¢Buy No 39.3¢
Republican 25-30%$2.0K vol16.5%−0.5Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢
Republican 20-25%$3.1K vol9.0%-Buy Yes 9.0¢Buy No 91.0¢
Republican 15-20%$934 vol6.6%+2.3Buy Yes 6.6¢Buy No 93.4¢
Republican 0-5%$806 vol5.5%+0.9Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢
Republican 10-15%$833 vol5.2%+0.6Buy Yes 5.2¢Buy No 94.8¢
Democrat Wins$1.4K vol3.9%−0.4Buy Yes 3.9¢Buy No 96.2¢
Republican 5-10%$994 vol2.8%+0.9Buy Yes 2.8¢Buy No 97.3¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.