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Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms11 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 9-12% leads at 20.5%, ahead of Republican 12-15% (16.3%) and Republican 3-6% (15.5%).

24h volume: $249
Total volume: $23.3K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 11Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Republican 9-12%$2.7K vol20.5%-Buy Yes 20.5¢Buy No 79.5¢

Republican 12-15%$6.6K vol16.3%−0.2Buy Yes 16.3¢Buy No 83.7¢

Republican 3-6%$379 vol15.5%+8.0Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢

Republican 6-9%$1.1K vol13.8%−0.1Buy Yes 13.8¢Buy No 86.3¢

Republican 15-18%$6.7K vol13.5%−6.0Buy Yes 13.5¢Buy No 86.5¢

Republican 21%+$1.4K vol11.0%+3.0Buy Yes 11.0¢Buy No 89.0¢

Republican 18-21%$2.7K vol10.5%−1.0Buy Yes 10.5¢Buy No 89.5¢

Independent 0-3%$303 vol8.4%+0.4Buy Yes 8.4¢Buy No 91.6¢

Republican 0-3%$656 vol6.5%+4.3Buy Yes 6.5¢Buy No 93.5¢

Independent 3%+$369 vol0.60%-Buy Yes 0.6¢Buy No 99.4¢

Democrat Wins$401 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.