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MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 20-25% leads at 23.0%, ahead of Republican 15-20% (14.5%) and Republican 30-35% (14.0%).

24h volume: $491
Total volume: $25.4K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Republican 20-25%$6.0K vol23.0%−1.0Buy Yes 23.0¢Buy No 77.0¢

Republican 15-20%$2.3K vol14.5%+0.1Buy Yes 14.5¢Buy No 85.5¢

Republican 30-35%$5.0K vol14.0%−0.5Buy Yes 14.0¢Buy No 86.0¢

Republican 25-30%$6.4K vol13.5%−14.0Buy Yes 13.5¢Buy No 86.5¢

Republican 5-15%$951 vol6.9%−0.9Buy Yes 6.9¢Buy No 93.2¢

Republican 35-40%$1.8K vol6.2%+0.6Buy Yes 6.2¢Buy No 93.8¢

Republican 45%+$844 vol3.5%+0.1Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢

Republican 40-45%$859 vol2.7%−0.3Buy Yes 2.7¢Buy No 97.3¢

Republican 0-5%$677 vol0.50%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Democrat Wins$639 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.