PolyInsider

--:--:--

--

← All markets

MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 30-35% leads at 33.5%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% (30.0%) and Democrat 35-40% (18.0%).

24h volume: $2.4K
Total volume: $22.2K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 30-35%$4.2K vol33.5%+15.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢

Democrat 25-30%$10.2K vol30.0%+18.0Buy Yes 30.0¢Buy No 70.0¢

Democrat 35-40%$2.2K vol18.0%−1.5Buy Yes 18.0¢Buy No 82.0¢

Democrat 20-25%$2.1K vol15.5%−5.0Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢

Democrat 15-20%$1.1K vol7.0%−1.8Buy Yes 7.0¢Buy No 93.0¢

Democrat 40-45%$603 vol4.5%−1.0Buy Yes 4.5¢Buy No 95.5¢

Democrat 45%+$432 vol3.3%−0.1Buy Yes 3.3¢Buy No 96.8¢

Democrat 0-5%$577 vol0.20%+0.1Buy Yes 0.2¢Buy No 99.8¢

Democrat 5-15%$360 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Republican Wins$432 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.