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MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

ActiveMidterms9 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 25-30% leads at 28.1%, ahead of Republican 20-25% (24.0%) and Republican 30-35% (17.5%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $14.5K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Republican 25-30%$3.7K vol28.1%-Buy Yes 28.1¢Buy No 71.8¢

Republican 20-25%$2.5K vol24.0%+1.0Buy Yes 24.0¢Buy No 76.0¢

Republican 30-35%$2.1K vol17.5%-Buy Yes 17.5¢Buy No 82.5¢

Republican 10-15%$812 vol9.8%+0.1Buy Yes 9.8¢Buy No 90.2¢

Republican 15-20%$2.7K vol8.8%−1.1Buy Yes 8.8¢Buy No 91.2¢

Republican 0-10%$1.2K vol5.5%−0.3Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢

Republican 35-40%$552 vol5.5%-Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢

Republican 40%+$547 vol3.8%-Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.3¢

Democrat Wins$308 vol1.6%−0.4Buy Yes 1.6¢Buy No 98.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.