Warriors vs. Nuggets

ActiveSports332 linesEnds Oct 27, 2026

To win: Nuggets 71.5%, Warriors 28.5%.

24h volume: $164.0K
Total volume: $165.0K
Whales: 10
Fresh wallets: 0

Source: Polymarket ↗

Warriors 28.5%Nuggets 71.5%Warriors −19.5pp 1W

Moneyline

1 line · $73.0K vol

Warriors$73.0K vol28.5%−6.0

Nuggets$73.0K vol71.5%+6.0

Spread

33 lines · $32.1K vol

Nuggets -8.5$16.4K vol46.5%-

Nuggets -7.5$9.5K vol49.5%-

Nuggets -5.5$2.7K vol57.5%-

Nuggets -10.5$1.4K vol39.5%-

Total

25 lines · $59.7K vol

Over 233.5$30.8K vol57.5%-

Over 235.5$18.1K vol53.5%-

Over 232.5$6.5K vol58.5%-

Over 231.5$3.0K vol61.5%-

Yaxel Lendeborg

23 lines · $193 vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet47.0%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet48.5%-

Assists over 7.5No trades yet45.2%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

Nikola Jokić

35 lines

Points over 9.5No trades yet48.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet48.5%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet50.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

Jamal Murray

30 lines

Points over 9.5No trades yet48.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet48.5%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

Stephen Curry

27 lines

Points over 9.5No trades yet48.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 2.5No trades yet49.0%-

Aaron Gordon

22 lines

Points over 9.5No trades yet43.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet48.5%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet47.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

Brandin Podziemski

20 lines

Points over 29.5No trades yet49.0%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet48.5%-

Assists over 3.5No trades yet25.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

Draymond Green

19 lines

Points over 4.5No trades yet79.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet48.0%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

De'Anthony Melton

15 lines

Points over 4.5No trades yet49.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet46.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

Steals over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

Christian Braun

14 lines

Points over 4.5No trades yet48.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet48.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

DeMar DeRozan

14 lines

Points over 9.5No trades yet38.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet48.5%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet47.0%-

Steals over 1.5No trades yet49.5%-

Click a line to chart it. Spreads and totals list the busiest lines first; decided and untraded lines sit at the bottom. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m$48

All trades · 5m7

Buy pressure61%

@HomeRunHazardWhale1h ago

$5,535 buying Warriors on Nuggets -8.5

Bought at: $0.55
Shares: 10,064
Profit if right: $4,529

@EugycomWhale1h ago

$71,000 buying Nuggets

Bought at: $0.71
Shares: 100,000
Profit if right: $29,000

@monkeymashingkeyboardWhale1h ago

$31,787 buying Warriors

Bought at: $0.29
Shares: 109,612
Profit if right: $77,825

@ferrariChampions2026Whale1h ago

$6,707 buying Warriors on Nuggets -7.5

Bought at: $0.51
Shares: 13,151
Profit if right: $6,444

@mooseborzoiiWhale1h ago

$6,444 buying Nuggets on Nuggets -7.5

Bought at: $0.49
Shares: 13,151
Profit if right: $6,707

0xfb07…e2ccWhale1h ago

$9,600 buying Nuggets on Nuggets -7.5

Bought at: $0.48
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $10,400

@ArielFilipinoWhale1h ago

$15,378 buying Warriors on Nuggets -7.5

Bought at: $0.51
Shares: 30,134
Profit if right: $14,757

@ArielFilipinoWhale1h ago

$27,699 buying Warriors on Nuggets -7.5

Bought at: $0.52
Shares: 53,267
Profit if right: $25,568

0x9f15…bdb3Whale1h ago

$5,904 buying Nuggets on Nuggets -7.5

Bought at: $0.48
Shares: 12,301
Profit if right: $6,396

@mooseborzoiiWhale1h ago

$12,865 buying Nuggets on Nuggets -7.5

Bought at: $0.49
Shares: 26,254
Profit if right: $13,390

@one8tyfiveWhale7h ago

$5,922 buying Under on Over 233.5

Bought at: $0.49
Shares: 12,085
Profit if right: $6,163

@monkeymashingkeyboardWhale11h ago

$7,884 buying Warriors on Nuggets -8.5

Bought at: $0.53
Shares: 14,875
Profit if right: $6,991

@bagadodgWhale11h ago

$7,056 buying Nuggets on Nuggets -8.5

Bought at: $0.47
Shares: 15,013
Profit if right: $7,957

Market read

Who is favoured in Warriors vs Nuggets?

Polymarket makes the Nuggets 72% favourites to beat the Warriors on Oct 26. The Warriors' chance has fallen from 49% on Oct 20 to 30% now.

Where is the whale money going?

Our tracker has logged 13 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 10 wallets since Oct 26, $213.8K in all. The most whale money went to the Nuggets: $71.0K, 33% of the total. The largest single bet was $71.0K on the Nuggets at 71¢ by @Eugycom on Oct 26. $165.0K has been traded in total, $164.0K of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution rules from Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.

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Warriors vs. Nuggets

Moneyline

Spread

Total

Yaxel Lendeborg

Nikola Jokić

Jamal Murray

Stephen Curry

Aaron Gordon

Brandin Podziemski

Draymond Green

De'Anthony Melton

Christian Braun

DeMar DeRozan

Trevon Brazile

1st half

Specials

Market read

Who is favoured in Warriors vs Nuggets?

Where is the whale money going?

How does this market resolve?

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