Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers

ActiveSports485 linesEnds Oct 26, 2026

To win: Cavaliers 61.5%, Timberwolves 38.5%.

24h volume: $862.7K
Total volume: $867.8K
Whales: 9
Fresh wallets: 1

Source: Polymarket ↗

Timberwolves 38.5%Cavaliers 61.5%Timberwolves −10.5pp 1W

Moneyline

1 line · $701.1K vol

Timberwolves$701.1K vol38.5%−5.0

Cavaliers$701.1K vol61.5%+5.0

Spread

33 lines · $159.4K vol

Cavaliers -3.5$81.2K vol53.5%-

Cavaliers -4.5$61.1K vol49.5%-

Cavaliers -2.5$9.6K vol56.5%-

Cavaliers -5.5$2.8K vol44.5%-

Total

25 lines · $8.4K vol

Over 234.5$6.6K vol48.5%-

Over 233.5$1.1K vol50.5%-

Over 232.5$725 vol53.0%-

Over 236.5No trades yet43.5%-

Evan Mobley

28 lines · $949 vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet48.5%-

Rebounds over 8.5$947 vol28.5%-

Assists over 3.5No trades yet41.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet64.0%-

LaMelo Ball

27 lines · $100 vol

Points over 19.5No trades yet41.0%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet51.5%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet52.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 1.5No trades yet48.5%-

Rudy Gobert

18 lines · $74 vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet47.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet50.5%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet45.5%-

Blocks over 0.5No trades yet48.5%-

Donovan Mitchell

31 lines · $14 vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet51.5%-

Rebounds over 4.5No trades yet49.0%-

Assists over 3.5No trades yet61.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet48.5%-

Anthony Edwards

27 lines · $12 vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet49.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet52.5%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet53.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 1.5No trades yet48.5%-

Jarrett Allen

20 lines · $11 vol

Points over 29.5No trades yet46.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet48.5%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet19.5%-

Blocks over 0.5No trades yet48.5%-

Ayo Dosunmu

19 lines · $2 vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet64.5%-

Rebounds over 3.5No trades yet43.5%-

Assists over 3.5$2 vol45.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 2.5No trades yet48.5%-

James Harden

29 lines

Points over 14.5No trades yet35.0%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet51.0%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet51.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet48.5%-

Peyton Watson

23 lines

Points over 9.5No trades yet40.0%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet51.5%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet59.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 3.5No trades yet48.5%-

Jonathan Kuminga

20 lines

Points over 4.5No trades yet49.5%-

Rebounds over 5.5No trades yet37.5%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet60.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 3.5No trades yet48.5%-

1st half

37 lines

Total: Over 113.5No trades yet51.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -3.5No trades yet45.5%-

Spread: Cavaliers -1.5No trades yet54.5%-

Total: Over 115.5No trades yet43.5%-

1st quarter

14 lines

Total: Over 65.5No trades yet49.0%-

Total: Over 67.5No trades yet49.0%-

Total: Over 69.5No trades yet49.0%-

Total: Over 63.5No trades yet48.0%-

2nd quarter

9 lines

Total: Over 59.5No trades yet49.0%-

Total: Over 55.5No trades yet53.0%-

Total: Over 57.5No trades yet43.5%-

Spread: Cavaliers -2.5No trades yet43.0%-

3rd quarter

13 lines

Spread: Timberwolves -3.5No trades yet50.0%-

Spread: Timberwolves -5.5No trades yet50.0%-

Spread: Timberwolves -1.5No trades yet50.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -2.5No trades yet50.0%-

4th quarter

7 lines

Total: Over 56.5No trades yet49.0%-

Total: Over 58.5No trades yet27.5%-

Spread: Timberwolves -3.5No trades yet50.0%-

Spread: Timberwolves -1.5No trades yet50.0%-

Click a line to chart it. Spreads and totals list the busiest lines first; decided and untraded lines sit at the bottom. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m$523

All trades · 5m22

Buy pressure100%

@ic4creamWhale3h ago

$6,668 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 10,931
Profit if right: $4,263

@mooseborzoiiWhale3h ago

$9,368 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.59
Shares: 15,878
Profit if right: $6,510

0x9e3e…f882Whale3h ago

$7,179 buying Timberwolves

Bought at: $0.41
Shares: 17,515
Profit if right: $10,336

@mooseborzoiiWhale3h ago

$11,903 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.59
Shares: 20,175
Profit if right: $8,272

0x9e3e…f882Whale3h ago

$9,346 buying Timberwolves

Bought at: $0.41
Shares: 22,817
Profit if right: $13,471

0x9e3e…f882Whale3h ago

$9,346 buying Timberwolves

Bought at: $0.41
Shares: 22,817
Profit if right: $13,471

@mooseborzoiiWhale3h ago

$7,900 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.59
Shares: 13,390
Profit if right: $5,490

0x9e3e…f882Whale3h ago

$9,346 buying Timberwolves

Bought at: $0.42
Shares: 22,493
Profit if right: $13,147

@ferrariChampions2026Whale4h ago

$7,144 buying Timberwolves on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: $0.51
Shares: 14,007
Profit if right: $6,863

0x9e3e…f882Whale4h ago

$9,346 buying Timberwolves

Bought at: $0.41
Shares: 22,974
Profit if right: $13,628

0x9e3e…f882Whale4h ago

$9,346 buying Timberwolves

Bought at: $0.41
Shares: 22,968
Profit if right: $13,622

@mooseborzoiiWhale4h ago

$9,242 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.59
Shares: 15,664
Profit if right: $6,422

0x9e3e…f882Whale4h ago

$7,947 buying Timberwolves

Bought at: $0.39
Shares: 20,164
Profit if right: $12,218

@monkeymashingkeyboardWhale4h ago

$9,989 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 16,376
Profit if right: $6,386

0x9e3e…f882Whale4h ago

$9,346 buying Timberwolves

Bought at: $0.39
Shares: 23,964
Profit if right: $14,618

0x9e3e…f882Whale4h ago

$9,346 buying Timberwolves

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 24,395
Profit if right: $15,049

@takeormakeWhale4h ago

$5,911 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 9,534
Profit if right: $3,623

@takeormakeWhale4h ago

$15,248 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 24,594
Profit if right: $9,346

0x9e3e…f882Whale4h ago

$9,346 buying Timberwolves

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 24,594
Profit if right: $15,248

@FeedTheBigBirdWhale4h ago

$6,933 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 13,866
Profit if right: $6,933

@one8tyfiveWhale4h ago

$6,963 buying Timberwolves on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 13,926
Profit if right: $6,963

@monkeymashingkeyboardWhale4h ago

$5,998 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 9,674
Profit if right: $3,676

@monkeymashingkeyboardWhale4h ago

$12,075 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 19,475
Profit if right: $7,401

@mooseborzoiiWhale4h ago

$11,511 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -3.5

Bought at: $0.52
Shares: 22,136
Profit if right: $10,625

@AppleTiiimeWhale7h ago

$7,608 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.60
Shares: 12,680
Profit if right: $5,072

@vilkaiiIshamilFresh8h ago

$2,482 buying Timberwolves

Bought at: $0.40
Shares: 6,204
Profit if right: $3,723

@AppleTiiimeWhale9h ago

$6,508 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.60
Shares: 10,846
Profit if right: $4,338

@AppleTiiimeWhale10h ago

$10,772 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.60
Shares: 17,993
Profit if right: $7,220

@AppleTiiimeWhale10h ago

$14,692 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 24,137
Profit if right: $9,445

@AppleTiiimeWhale10h ago

$7,689 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.60
Shares: 12,879
Profit if right: $5,190

Market read

Who is favoured in Timberwolves vs Cavaliers?

Polymarket makes the Cavaliers 62% favourites to beat the Timberwolves on Oct 26. The Timberwolves' chance has fallen from 49% on Oct 20 to 39% now.

Where is the whale money going?

Our tracker has logged 29 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 9 wallets since Oct 26, $264.0K in all. The most whale money went to the Cavaliers: $141.6K, 54% of the total. The largest single bet was $15.2K on the Cavaliers at 62¢ by @takeormake on Oct 26. 1 first-time wallet has bet $500 or more here, the biggest $2.5K on the Timberwolves. $867.8K has been traded in total, $862.7K of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution rules from Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.

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Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers

Moneyline

Spread

Total

Evan Mobley

LaMelo Ball

Rudy Gobert

Donovan Mitchell

Anthony Edwards

Jarrett Allen

Ayo Dosunmu

James Harden

Peyton Watson

Jonathan Kuminga

Jaden McDaniels

Jaylon Tyson

Terrence Shannon Jr.

Sam Merrill

1st half

1st quarter

2nd quarter

3rd quarter

4th quarter

Timberwolves

Timberwolves · 1st half

Timberwolves · 2nd half

Cavaliers

Cavaliers · 1st half

Cavaliers · 2nd half

Specials

Market read

Who is favoured in Timberwolves vs Cavaliers?

Where is the whale money going?

How does this market resolve?

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