Thunder vs. Cavaliers

ClosedSports468 linesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Final: the Thunder beat the Cavaliers.

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $3.6M
Whales: 27
Fresh wallets: 2

Source: Polymarket ↗

Thunder 100.0%Cavaliers 0.0%Thunder +40.5% 1W

Moneyline

1 line · $1.3M vol

Thunder$1.3M vol · resolved100.0%+61.5%

Cavaliers$1.3M vol · resolved0.0%−61.5%

Spread

33 lines · $1.9M vol

Cavaliers -4.5$1.7M vol · resolved0.0%−48.4%

Cavaliers -3.5$84.0K vol · resolved0.0%−52.4%

Cavaliers -6.5$33.1K vol · resolved0.0%−40.9%

Cavaliers -1.5$14.4K vol · resolved0.0%−58.5%

Total

31 lines · $273.7K vol

Over 227.5$83.6K vol · resolved100.0%+48.4%

Over 228.5$80.4K vol · resolved100.0%+51.4%

Over 230.5$40.2K vol · resolved0.0%−44.5%

Over 226.5$30.2K vol · resolved100.0%+46.5%

Evan Mobley

27 lines · $3.1K vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%+24.9%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

28 lines · $2.7K vol

Points over 9.5$22 vol · resolved100.0%+50.9%

Donovan Mitchell

31 lines · $957 vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%+50.9%

Jared McCain

17 lines · $608 vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%−67.5%

Ajay Mitchell

21 lines · $458 vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%+43.5%

Isaiah Hartenstein

19 lines · $359 vol

Points over 4.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%+50.5%

Jarrett Allen

17 lines · $320 vol

Points over 4.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%+50.9%

Bennett Stirtz

13 lines · $228 vol

Points over 4.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Aday Mara

15 lines · $163 vol

Points over 4.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Kenrich Williams

13 lines · $130 vol

Points over 4.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

1st half

38 lines · $57.8K vol

Total: Over 115.5$27.3K vol · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -3.5$6.8K vol · resolved0.0%-

Winner: Thunder$5.9K vol · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -1.5$4.0K vol · resolved0.0%-

1st quarter

21 lines · $4.9K vol

Total: Over 57.5$3.0K vol · resolved0.0%-

Total: Over 59.5$1.8K vol · resolved0.0%-

Total: Over 55.5$119 vol · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -1.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

2nd quarter

10 lines

Spread: Cavaliers -0.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Total: Over 57.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Thunder -1.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Total: Over 55.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

3rd quarter

15 lines

Spread: Cavaliers -0.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Total: Over 56.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Thunder -1.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Total: Over 54.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

4th quarter

9 lines

Spread: Cavaliers -0.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Total: Over 54.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Thunder -1.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Total: Over 52.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Thunder

14 lines · $52 vol

Over 112.5$17 vol · resolved100.0%-

Over 110.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Thunder · 1st half

6 lines · $1.7K vol

Over 57.5$1.7K vol · resolved100.0%-

Over 55.5$49 vol · resolved100.0%-

Thunder · 2nd half

5 lines

Over 56.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Over 54.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Cavaliers

14 lines · $54 vol

Over 116.5$27 vol · resolved0.0%-

Over 114.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Cavaliers · 1st half

6 lines · $1.5K vol

Over 59.5$1.5K vol · resolved0.0%-

Over 57.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Cavaliers · 2nd half

5 lines

Over 58.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Over 56.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Final lines. Click a line to chart it. Spreads and totals list the busiest lines first; decided and untraded lines sit at the bottom. 24h change shown as %.

Whales & fresh wallets

@ezMergeWhale2d ago

$5,880 buying Thunder

Bought at: 99.9¢
Shares: 5,886
Profit if right: $6

@ExpaVertexWhale2d ago

$10,342 buying Thunder

Bought at: 99.9¢
Shares: 10,353
Profit if right: $10

@winner877Whale2d ago

$9,600 buying Thunder

Bought at: 96¢
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $400

@BIessWhale2d ago

$5,575 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: 65.7¢
Shares: 8,480
Profit if right: $2,905

@ferrariChampions2026Whale2d ago

$7,333 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: 71¢
Shares: 10,328
Profit if right: $2,995

@rizWhale2d ago

$9,613 buying Thunder

Bought at: 53.6¢
Shares: 17,928
Profit if right: $8,315

@AppleTiiimeWhale2d ago

$5,400 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: 36¢
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $9,600

@ferrariChampions2026Whale2d ago

$8,976 buying Thunder

Bought at: 64¢
Shares: 14,026
Profit if right: $5,049

@Anon455Whale2d ago

$11,600 in 2 fills buying Thunder

Bought at: 58.6¢
Shares: 19,788
Profit if right: $8,188

@AckbarWhale2d ago

$5,400 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: 36¢
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $9,600

@takeormakeWhale2d ago

$25,435 in 4 fills buying Cavaliers

Bought at: 51.9¢
Shares: 48,970
Profit if right: $23,535

@Multicoloured-SerfWhale2d ago

$10,350 buying Thunder

Bought at: 64¢
Shares: 16,171
Profit if right: $5,822

@aaa66677Fresh2d ago

$500 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: 31¢
Shares: 1,613
Profit if right: $1,113

@takeormakeWhale2d ago

$6,000 buying Thunder

Bought at: 45.8¢
Shares: 13,111
Profit if right: $7,111

@Anon455Whale2d ago

$31,807 in 5 fills buying Cavaliers

Bought at: 61.4¢
Shares: 51,786
Profit if right: $19,979

@0xn4zibunnyFresh2d ago

$618 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: 52¢
Shares: 1,188
Profit if right: $570

@big8betzWhale2d ago

$10,000 buying Thunder

Bought at: 39.3¢
Shares: 25,439
Profit if right: $15,439

0x2c33…0563Whale2d ago

$5,400 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 54¢
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $4,600

@Multicoloured-SerfWhale2d ago

$11,832 in 2 fills buying Cavaliers

Bought at: 63¢
Shares: 18,781
Profit if right: $6,949

@keeptheblueflagflyinghighWhale2d ago

$7,758 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: 63¢
Shares: 12,315
Profit if right: $4,556

@suntoriWhale2d ago

$19,048 in 2 fills buying Thunder

Bought at: 37¢
Shares: 51,417
Profit if right: $32,370

@Novelty8Whale2d ago

$10,000 buying Thunder on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 50¢
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $10,000

@Multicoloured-SerfWhale2d ago

$35,365 in 2 fills buying Thunder on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 50.5¢
Shares: 70,012
Profit if right: $34,647

@ch27erWhale2d ago

$38,500 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 50.1¢
Shares: 76,877
Profit if right: $38,377

@HomeRunHazardWhale2d ago

$19,662 in 3 fills buying Thunder on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 50.3¢
Shares: 39,093
Profit if right: $19,431

@ch27erWhale2d ago

$50,000 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: 62¢
Shares: 80,645
Profit if right: $30,645

@Multicoloured-SerfWhale2d ago

$30,645 buying Thunder

Bought at: 38¢
Shares: 80,645
Profit if right: $50,000

@HomeRunHazardWhale2d ago

$7,613 buying Thunder on Cavaliers -6.5

Bought at: 58¢
Shares: 13,126
Profit if right: $5,513

@woshikd99Whale2d ago

$7,385 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -6.5

Bought at: 42¢
Shares: 17,583
Profit if right: $10,198

@HomeRunHazardWhale2d ago

$6,626 buying Under on Over 230.5

Bought at: 52¢
Shares: 12,742
Profit if right: $6,116

@shaillakhaniWhale2d ago

$8,425 buying Over on Over 230.5

Bought at: 47.8¢
Shares: 17,640
Profit if right: $9,215

0x2c33…0563Whale2d ago

$10,281 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -3.5

Bought at: 53¢
Shares: 19,398
Profit if right: $9,117

@Multicoloured-SerfWhale2d ago

$9,070 buying Thunder on Cavaliers -3.5

Bought at: 47¢
Shares: 19,298
Profit if right: $10,228

0x2c33…0563Whale2d ago

$200,000 buying Thunder on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 50¢
Shares: 400,000
Profit if right: $200,000

0x9f15…bdb3Whale2d ago

$32,724 buying Thunder on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 50¢
Shares: 65,449
Profit if right: $32,724

@googleplayWhale2d ago

$616,786 in 3 fills buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 49.4¢
Shares: 1,249,714
Profit if right: $632,928

@monkeymashingkeyboardWhale2d ago

$26,903 buying Thunder on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 52¢
Shares: 51,737
Profit if right: $24,834

@BreakTheBankWhale2d ago

$314,474 buying Thunder on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 51¢
Shares: 616,616
Profit if right: $302,142

@drainedandpoorWhale2d ago

$12,750 buying Thunder on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 51¢
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $12,250

@TMingchanWhale2d ago

$5,329 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -3.5

Bought at: 53¢
Shares: 10,054
Profit if right: $4,725

@RaisuuWhale2d ago

$24,285 buying Thunder on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 52¢
Shares: 46,702
Profit if right: $22,417

@HomeRunHazardWhale2d ago

$6,130 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 48¢
Shares: 12,771
Profit if right: $6,641

@Multicoloured-SerfWhale2d ago

$7,894 buying Under on Over 228.5

Bought at: 48¢
Shares: 16,446
Profit if right: $8,552

@ferrariChampions2026Whale2d ago

$9,054 buying Over on Over 228.5

Bought at: 52¢
Shares: 17,412
Profit if right: $8,358

@ferrariChampions2026Whale2d ago

$6,033 buying Thunder on Cavaliers -4.5

Bought at: 51¢
Shares: 11,830
Profit if right: $5,796

Market read

Who is favoured in Thunder vs Cavaliers?

Final: the Thunder beat the Cavaliers on Nov 2.

Where is the whale money going?

Our tracker has logged 88 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 38 wallets since Nov 2, $2.0M in all. The most whale money went to Thunder on Spread -4.5: $755.9K, 38% of the total. The largest single bet was $351.4K on Cavaliers on Spread -4.5 at 49¢ by @googleplay on Nov 2. 2 first-time wallets have bet $500 or more here, the biggest $618 on the Cavaliers. $3.6M has been traded in total.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution rules from Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 2 at 7:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.

More Sports markets

All Sports markets →

Thunder vs. Cavaliers

Moneyline

Spread

Total

Evan Mobley

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Donovan Mitchell

Jared McCain

Ajay Mitchell

Isaiah Hartenstein

Jarrett Allen

Bennett Stirtz

Aday Mara

Kenrich Williams

Sam Merrill

James Harden

Mario Hezonja

Meleek Thomas

Jaylin Williams

1st half

1st quarter

2nd quarter

3rd quarter

4th quarter

Thunder

Thunder · 1st half

Thunder · 2nd half

Cavaliers

Cavaliers · 1st half

Cavaliers · 2nd half

Specials

Market read

Who is favoured in Thunder vs Cavaliers?

Where is the whale money going?

How does this market resolve?

More Sports markets

More Sports markets