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NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 55-60% leads at 31.5%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% (28.0%) and Democrat 60%+ (21.8%).

24h volume
$21
Total volume
$15.5K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 55-60%$3.4K vol31.5%-Buy Yes 31.5¢Buy No 68.5¢
Democrat 50-55%$2.7K vol28.0%+0.5Buy Yes 28.0¢Buy No 72.0¢
Democrat 60%+$1.5K vol21.8%−0.7Buy Yes 21.8¢Buy No 78.2¢
Democrat 45-50%$3.1K vol11.1%-Buy Yes 11.1¢Buy No 88.9¢
Democrat 40-45%$879 vol4.3%-Buy Yes 4.3¢Buy No 95.8¢
Democrat 20-30%$735 vol2.9%−1.8Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.1¢
Democrat 30-35%$1.1K vol1.6%-Buy Yes 1.6¢Buy No 98.4¢
Democrat 35-40%$592 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢
Democrat 0-20%$961 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢
Republican Wins$505 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.