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New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 10-15% leads at 32.0%, ahead of Democrat 5-10% (25.5%) and Democrat 15-20% (17.0%).

24h volume: $254
Total volume: $10.9K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 10-15%$2.9K vol32.0%−1.0Buy Yes 32.0¢Buy No 68.0¢

Democrat 5-10%$1.8K vol25.5%−1.5Buy Yes 25.5¢Buy No 74.5¢

Democrat 15-20%$2.8K vol17.0%−3.5Buy Yes 17.0¢Buy No 83.0¢

Democrat 20-25%$1.6K vol13.5%+3.0Buy Yes 13.5¢Buy No 86.5¢

Democrat 25%+$424 vol7.4%+1.7Buy Yes 7.4¢Buy No 92.5¢

Republican 0-5%$720 vol4.8%−0.3Buy Yes 4.8¢Buy No 95.2¢

Democrat 0-5%$467 vol3.7%-Buy Yes 3.7¢Buy No 96.3¢

Republican 5%+$210 vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.