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New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 21%+ leads at 50.0%, ahead of Democrat 18-21% (21.0%) and Democrat 15-18% (13.5%).

24h volume
$70
Total volume
$12.2K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 21%+$6.7K vol50.0%+0.5Buy Yes 50.0¢Buy No 50.0¢
Democrat 18-21%$1.8K vol21.0%-Buy Yes 21.0¢Buy No 79.0¢
Democrat 15-18%$606 vol13.5%-Buy Yes 13.5¢Buy No 86.5¢
Democrat 12-15%$683 vol6.7%-Buy Yes 6.7¢Buy No 93.3¢
Democrat 6-9%$734 vol6.4%-Buy Yes 6.4¢Buy No 93.6¢
Republican 3%+$659 vol4.0%−0.4Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
Democrat 0-3%$210 vol3.1%−0.1Buy Yes 3.1¢Buy No 96.8¢
Democrat 9-12%$260 vol3.0%−0.1Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢
Republican 0-3%$248 vol2.3%+0.1Buy Yes 2.3¢Buy No 97.7¢
Democrat 3-6%$381 vol1.8%−1.1Buy Yes 1.8¢Buy No 98.2¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.