Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

ActivePolitics7 outcomesEnds Nov 8, 2026

Christopher Luxon leads at 52.5%, ahead of Chris Hipkins (46.5%) and Chlöe Swarbrick (0.85%).

Outcome · 7Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Christopher Luxon$13.2K vol52.5%−1.0Buy Yes 52.5¢Buy No 47.5¢

Chris Hipkins$14.6K vol46.5%+1.0Buy Yes 46.5¢Buy No 53.5¢

Chlöe Swarbrick$2.7K vol0.85%-Buy Yes 0.9¢Buy No 99.2¢

David Seymour$2.3K vol0.70%−0.3Buy Yes 0.7¢Buy No 99.3¢

Winston Peters$3.0K vol0.45%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.5¢

Nicola Willis$4.6K vol0.35%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.7¢

Carmel Sepuloni$2.2K vol0.15%−0.4Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

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