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NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms9 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 20-25% leads at 29.0%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% (23.0%) and Democrat 15-20% (21.0%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$11.0K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 20-25%$2.0K vol29.0%-Buy Yes 29.0¢Buy No 71.0¢
Democrat 25-30%$3.5K vol23.0%−0.5Buy Yes 23.0¢Buy No 77.0¢
Democrat 15-20%$2.6K vol21.0%-Buy Yes 21.0¢Buy No 79.0¢
Democrat 30-35%$1.4K vol18.2%+0.1Buy Yes 18.2¢Buy No 81.8¢
Democrat 40%+$392 vol4.0%−2.9Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
Democrat 10-15%$199 vol3.8%−0.1Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.2¢
Democrat 35-40%$232 vol3.1%-Buy Yes 3.1¢Buy No 96.9¢
Republican Wins$398 vol2.7%+2.3Buy Yes 2.7¢Buy No 97.3¢
Democrat 0-10%$215 vol2.0%+0.1Buy Yes 2.0¢Buy No 98.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.