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NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 15-20% leads at 24.5%, ahead of Democrat 10-15% (22.5%) and Democrat 20-25% (20.5%).

24h volume
$449
Total volume
$18.6K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 15-20%$5.5K vol24.5%+3.5Buy Yes 24.5¢Buy No 75.5¢
Democrat 10-15%$4.2K vol22.5%−2.0Buy Yes 22.5¢Buy No 77.5¢
Democrat 20-25%$3.9K vol20.5%−0.5Buy Yes 20.5¢Buy No 79.5¢
Democrat 5-10%$1.7K vol12.0%+0.4Buy Yes 12.0¢Buy No 88.0¢
Democrat 0-5%$1.0K vol8.6%+2.6Buy Yes 8.6¢Buy No 91.5¢
Republican 5%+$652 vol4.3%+0.2Buy Yes 4.3¢Buy No 95.7¢
Democrat 25%+$741 vol4.0%−1.0Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
Republican 0-5%$895 vol3.6%−1.1Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.4¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.