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NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms9 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 15-20% leads at 20.5%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% (17.2%) and Democrat 25-30% (16.5%).

24h volume
$140
Total volume
$9.6K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 15-20%$1.1K vol20.5%−0.5Buy Yes 20.5¢Buy No 79.5¢
Democrat 20-25%$1.9K vol17.2%−12.6Buy Yes 17.2¢Buy No 82.8¢
Democrat 25-30%$2.6K vol16.5%−5.0Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢
Democrat 5-10%$1.0K vol4.4%-Buy Yes 4.4¢Buy No 95.6¢
Democrat 0-5%$1.0K vol4.3%-Buy Yes 4.3¢Buy No 95.8¢
Democrat 35%+$840 vol4.0%-Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
Democrat 30-35%$625 vol3.1%−2.5Buy Yes 3.1¢Buy No 96.8¢
Democrat 10-15%$164 vol3.1%−0.9Buy Yes 3.1¢Buy No 96.9¢
Republican Wins$409 vol0.45%+0.3Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.