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Nothing Ever Happens: November

Nothing Ever Happens: November

ActiveParlaysEnds Dec 1, 2026

The market prices Yes at 92.0% and No at 8.0%.

24h volume
$1.1K
Total volume
$4.3K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Source: Polymarket ↗
Chance
Yes 92.0%No 8.0%Yes +41.0% 1W
OutcomeChance
92%+4.0%
8%−4.0%

Market read

What are the odds on "Nothing Ever Happens: November"?

Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 92%. Yes has risen from 51% on Oct 31 to 92% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 4.0 points.

Where is the whale money going?

No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $4.3K has been traded in total, $1.1K of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 1, 2026.

Resolution rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Bitcoin all time high - Any G7 leader out (Carney, Macron, Merz, Meloni, Takaichi, Burnham, Trump) - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/November_NEH.pdf

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.