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NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 15-20% leads at 31.5%, ahead of Democrat 10-15% (16.5%) and Democrat 25%+ (10.7%).

24h volume
$152
Total volume
$14.3K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 15-20%$1.7K vol31.5%−0.5Buy Yes 31.5¢Buy No 68.5¢
Democrat 10-15%$4.0K vol16.5%−1.0Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢
Democrat 25%+$646 vol10.7%−0.6Buy Yes 10.7¢Buy No 89.3¢
Democrat 5-10%$1.7K vol9.5%−1.5Buy Yes 9.5¢Buy No 90.5¢
Democrat 20-25%$3.3K vol4.7%+0.1Buy Yes 4.7¢Buy No 95.3¢
Democrat 0-5%$1.1K vol3.4%−0.4Buy Yes 3.4¢Buy No 96.7¢
Republican 5%+$1.4K vol1.1%-Buy Yes 1.1¢Buy No 98.9¢
Republican 0-5%$427 vol0.30%−0.1Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.