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NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 0-3% leads at 20.5%, ahead of Republican 3-6% (17.8%) and Democrat 0-3% (16.4%).

24h volume
$187
Total volume
$26.6K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 0-3%$6.8K vol20.5%−1.5Buy Yes 20.5¢Buy No 79.5¢
Republican 3-6%$5.4K vol17.8%−1.4Buy Yes 17.8¢Buy No 82.2¢
Democrat 0-3%$5.1K vol16.4%−0.6Buy Yes 16.4¢Buy No 83.6¢
Republican 6-9%$2.9K vol13.5%−1.0Buy Yes 13.5¢Buy No 86.5¢
Republican 9-12%$1.2K vol11.5%+2.5Buy Yes 11.5¢Buy No 88.5¢
Republican 12-15%$1.1K vol11.1%−2.1Buy Yes 11.1¢Buy No 88.9¢
Republican 18%+$1.2K vol8.3%+0.4Buy Yes 8.3¢Buy No 91.8¢
Republican 15-18%$970 vol7.6%+0.1Buy Yes 7.6¢Buy No 92.4¢
Democrat 3-6%$1.2K vol2.1%-Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.9¢
Democrat 6%+$787 vol1.5%−1.7Buy Yes 1.5¢Buy No 98.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.