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NY-02 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 3-6% leads at 24.0%, ahead of Republican 6-9% (22.0%) and Republican 0-3% (17.0%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$10.5K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 3-6%$1.0K vol24.0%+1.5Buy Yes 24.0¢Buy No 76.0¢
Republican 6-9%$3.7K vol22.0%−1.0Buy Yes 22.0¢Buy No 78.0¢
Republican 0-3%$2.1K vol17.0%−2.5Buy Yes 17.0¢Buy No 83.0¢
Democrat 0-3%$432 vol12.5%-Buy Yes 12.5¢Buy No 87.5¢
Republican 15-18%$360 vol9.8%+2.4Buy Yes 9.8¢Buy No 90.2¢
Republican 18-21%$792 vol9.6%-Buy Yes 9.6¢Buy No 90.5¢
Republican 9-12%$1.3K vol9.0%-Buy Yes 9.0¢Buy No 91.0¢
Republican 12-15%$376 vol5.3%−1.5Buy Yes 5.3¢Buy No 94.7¢
Republican 21%+$252 vol3.8%−0.1Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.2¢
Democrat 3%+$193 vol3.8%+0.2Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.3¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.