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NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 15-20% leads at 24.5%, ahead of Democrat 5-10% (14.5%) and Democrat 10-15% (10.5%).

24h volume
$140
Total volume
$19.4K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 15-20%$6.2K vol24.5%−2.0Buy Yes 24.5¢Buy No 75.5¢
Democrat 5-10%$6.3K vol14.5%-Buy Yes 14.5¢Buy No 85.5¢
Democrat 10-15%$2.8K vol10.5%−13.5Buy Yes 10.5¢Buy No 89.5¢
Democrat 0-5%$715 vol5.6%−8.6Buy Yes 5.6¢Buy No 94.4¢
Republican 5%+$798 vol4.8%-Buy Yes 4.8¢Buy No 95.3¢
Democrat 25%+$690 vol4.6%−0.1Buy Yes 4.6¢Buy No 95.4¢
Republican 0-5%$795 vol4.6%−2.9Buy Yes 4.6¢Buy No 95.4¢
Democrat 20-25%$1.1K vol3.6%-Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.3¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.