PolyInsider

--:--:--

--

← All markets

NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 10-15% leads at 32.5%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% (20.0%) and Democrat 5-10% (14.6%).

24h volume: $396
Total volume: $14.1K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 10-15%$3.2K vol32.5%−2.5Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢

Democrat 20-25%$2.8K vol20.0%−1.5Buy Yes 20.0¢Buy No 80.0¢

Democrat 5-10%$1.4K vol14.6%+0.1Buy Yes 14.6¢Buy No 85.3¢

Democrat 15-20%$4.1K vol13.5%−9.5Buy Yes 13.5¢Buy No 86.5¢

Republican Wins$561 vol6.6%-Buy Yes 6.6¢Buy No 93.5¢

Democrat 25-30%$1.2K vol4.3%−2.1Buy Yes 4.3¢Buy No 95.8¢

Democrat 30%+$370 vol3.6%-Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.3¢

Democrat 0-5%$355 vol0.75%+0.1Buy Yes 0.8¢Buy No 99.3¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.