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NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 50-55% leads at 44.5%, ahead of Democrat 45-50% (25.0%) and Democrat 55-60% (19.5%).

24h volume: $12
Total volume: $21.4K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 50-55%$6.0K vol44.5%-Buy Yes 44.5¢Buy No 55.5¢

Democrat 45-50%$7.5K vol25.0%+0.5Buy Yes 25.0¢Buy No 75.0¢

Democrat 55-60%$3.1K vol19.5%−1.0Buy Yes 19.5¢Buy No 80.5¢

Democrat 60-65%$595 vol11.9%+0.1Buy Yes 11.9¢Buy No 88.0¢

Democrat 0-30%$369 vol3.0%−0.4Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢

Democrat 30-40%$430 vol2.9%−2.1Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.0¢

Republican Wins$399 vol2.9%+1.3Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.2¢

Democrat 40-45%$2.0K vol2.1%−1.6Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.8¢

Democrat 65-70%$669 vol1.8%+0.4Buy Yes 1.8¢Buy No 98.2¢

Democrat 70%+$314 vol0.85%-Buy Yes 0.9¢Buy No 99.2¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.