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NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 25-30% leads at 29.0%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% (20.0%) and Democrat 35-40% (18.5%).

24h volume
$339
Total volume
$12.6K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 25-30%$2.0K vol29.0%−0.9Buy Yes 29.0¢Buy No 71.0¢
Democrat 30-35%$1.0K vol20.0%−3.5Buy Yes 20.0¢Buy No 80.0¢
Democrat 35-40%$845 vol18.5%-Buy Yes 18.5¢Buy No 81.5¢
Democrat 20-25%$2.5K vol17.5%+2.5Buy Yes 17.5¢Buy No 82.5¢
Democrat 40-45%$555 vol14.5%+3.2Buy Yes 14.5¢Buy No 85.5¢
Democrat 15-20%$2.7K vol5.3%−0.4Buy Yes 5.3¢Buy No 94.7¢
Democrat 0-5%$484 vol1.4%−1.8Buy Yes 1.4¢Buy No 98.6¢
Democrat 45%+$298 vol1.0%+0.5Buy Yes 1.0¢Buy No 99.0¢
Democrat 5-15%$1.8K vol0.60%-Buy Yes 0.6¢Buy No 99.4¢
Republican Wins$305 vol0.50%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.