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NY-08 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 55-60% leads at 29.5%, ahead of Democrat 60-65% (22.0%) and Democrat 45-50% (13.8%).

24h volume: $299
Total volume: $15.8K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 55-60%$2.0K vol29.5%−0.5Buy Yes 29.5¢Buy No 70.5¢

Democrat 60-65%$5.7K vol22.0%−2.5Buy Yes 22.0¢Buy No 78.0¢

Democrat 45-50%$662 vol13.8%+2.4Buy Yes 13.8¢Buy No 86.3¢

Democrat 50-55%$2.8K vol11.1%−6.1Buy Yes 11.1¢Buy No 89.0¢

Democrat 30-40%$2.5K vol7.9%+1.4Buy Yes 7.9¢Buy No 92.1¢

Democrat 65-70%$397 vol5.5%+0.5Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢

Democrat 40-45%$153 vol4.6%-Buy Yes 4.6¢Buy No 95.4¢

Democrat 0-30%$465 vol3.9%+0.1Buy Yes 3.9¢Buy No 96.1¢

Democrat 70%+$469 vol0.50%−2.3Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Republican Wins$627 vol0.15%−0.1Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.