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NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 55-60% leads at 39.5%, ahead of Democrat 60-65% (21.0%) and Democrat 50-55% (18.0%).

24h volume
$332
Total volume
$15.3K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 55-60%$2.9K vol39.5%−4.0Buy Yes 39.5¢Buy No 60.5¢
Democrat 60-65%$2.9K vol21.0%-Buy Yes 21.0¢Buy No 79.0¢
Democrat 50-55%$3.0K vol18.0%+4.0Buy Yes 18.0¢Buy No 82.0¢
Democrat 45-50%$1.4K vol13.1%−1.1Buy Yes 13.1¢Buy No 87.0¢
Democrat 65%+$683 vol2.1%+0.9Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.8¢
Democrat 40-45%$1.1K vol1.1%-Buy Yes 1.1¢Buy No 98.8¢
Democrat 0-25%$1.8K vol0.65%-Buy Yes 0.7¢Buy No 99.3¢
Democrat 35-40%$484 vol0.20%-Buy Yes 0.2¢Buy No 99.8¢
Democrat 25-35%$392 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢
Republican Wins$712 vol0.15%−0.1Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.