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NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 65-70% leads at 27.0%, ahead of Democrat 60-65% (26.0%) and Democrat 55-60% (18.8%).

24h volume
$124
Total volume
$17.1K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 65-70%$5.4K vol27.0%−0.5Buy Yes 27.0¢Buy No 73.0¢
Democrat 60-65%$1.5K vol26.0%+3.5Buy Yes 26.0¢Buy No 74.0¢
Democrat 55-60%$1.0K vol18.8%−6.6Buy Yes 18.8¢Buy No 81.2¢
Democrat 70-75%$3.2K vol17.5%+0.5Buy Yes 17.5¢Buy No 82.5¢
Democrat 0-45%$528 vol4.7%+1.1Buy Yes 4.7¢Buy No 95.3¢
Democrat 75-80%$2.9K vol4.3%−2.1Buy Yes 4.3¢Buy No 95.8¢
Democrat 85%+$378 vol4.2%−0.4Buy Yes 4.2¢Buy No 95.8¢
Democrat 80-85%$373 vol3.4%-Buy Yes 3.4¢Buy No 96.7¢
Republican Wins$292 vol1.6%-Buy Yes 1.6¢Buy No 98.4¢
Democrat 45-55%$1.5K vol1.5%−0.1Buy Yes 1.5¢Buy No 98.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.