PolyInsider

--:--:--

--

← All markets

NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 60-65% leads at 29.5%, ahead of Democrat 65-70% (29.0%) and Democrat 55-60% (18.0%).

24h volume: $888
Total volume: $12.8K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 60-65%$2.4K vol29.5%+1.5Buy Yes 29.5¢Buy No 70.5¢

Democrat 65-70%$1.8K vol29.0%−1.5Buy Yes 29.0¢Buy No 71.0¢

Democrat 55-60%$2.8K vol18.0%+1.0Buy Yes 18.0¢Buy No 82.0¢

Democrat 50-55%$599 vol9.8%+7.0Buy Yes 9.8¢Buy No 90.2¢

Democrat 70-75%$1.1K vol9.5%−3.5Buy Yes 9.5¢Buy No 90.5¢

Democrat 75%+$1.8K vol4.5%−3.3Buy Yes 4.5¢Buy No 95.5¢

Democrat 35-45%$1.2K vol3.8%+1.6Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.3¢

Democrat 0-35%$324 vol1.6%−0.9Buy Yes 1.6¢Buy No 98.4¢

Democrat 45-50%$474 vol0.75%−0.1Buy Yes 0.8¢Buy No 99.3¢

Republican Wins$322 vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.