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NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 50-55% leads at 32.0%, ahead of Democrat 45-50% (22.4%) and Democrat 55-60% (17.1%).

24h volume
$288
Total volume
$20.3K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 50-55%$3.4K vol32.0%−0.5Buy Yes 32.0¢Buy No 68.0¢
Democrat 45-50%$1.8K vol22.4%+6.6Buy Yes 22.4¢Buy No 77.5¢
Democrat 55-60%$2.0K vol17.1%−0.9Buy Yes 17.1¢Buy No 82.9¢
Democrat 60%+$2.4K vol7.0%+2.5Buy Yes 7.0¢Buy No 93.0¢
Democrat 40-45%$5.6K vol6.5%+1.0Buy Yes 6.5¢Buy No 93.5¢
Democrat 30-35%$1.5K vol5.7%−3.6Buy Yes 5.7¢Buy No 94.3¢
Democrat 35-40%$2.2K vol4.0%−3.1Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
Democrat 0-20%$373 vol1.0%-Buy Yes 1.0¢Buy No 99.0¢
Democrat 20-30%$815 vol0.55%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢
Republican Wins$166 vol0.45%+0.3Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.