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NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 6-9% leads at 24.5%, ahead of Republican 3-6% (21.5%) and Republican 0-3% (17.5%).

24h volume
$24
Total volume
$8.1K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 6-9%$1.6K vol24.5%+1.0Buy Yes 24.5¢Buy No 75.5¢
Republican 3-6%$1.8K vol21.5%-Buy Yes 21.5¢Buy No 78.5¢
Republican 0-3%$922 vol17.5%-Buy Yes 17.5¢Buy No 82.5¢
Democrat 0-3%$448 vol15.5%-Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢
Democrat 3%+$348 vol5.5%−8.0Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢
Republican 21%+$1.9K vol4.5%-Buy Yes 4.5¢Buy No 95.5¢
Republican 9-12%$396 vol4.3%+0.8Buy Yes 4.3¢Buy No 95.7¢
Republican 12-15%$226 vol2.9%-Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.2¢
Republican 18-21%$130 vol1.5%−0.5Buy Yes 1.5¢Buy No 98.5¢
Republican 15-18%$233 vol1.4%-Buy Yes 1.4¢Buy No 98.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.