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NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

ActivePolitics8 outcomesEnds Nov 8, 2026

National 0-5% leads at 33.0%, ahead of Labour 0-5% (26.0%) and National 5-10% (18.3%).

24h volume: $205
Total volume: $21.6K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

National 0-5%$3.4K vol33.0%+1.5Buy Yes 33.0¢Buy No 67.0¢

Labour 0-5%$1.7K vol26.0%−10.0Buy Yes 26.0¢Buy No 74.0¢

National 5-10%$1.1K vol18.3%−4.5Buy Yes 18.3¢Buy No 81.7¢

Labour 10-15%$5.9K vol14.0%−1.0Buy Yes 14.0¢Buy No 86.0¢

Labour 5-10%$783 vol7.9%−2.6Buy Yes 7.9¢Buy No 92.1¢

Labour 15%+$738 vol5.8%−3.3Buy Yes 5.8¢Buy No 94.2¢

National 10%+$7.5K vol3.5%−0.3Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢

Another Party Wins$419 vol0.40%+0.1Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.6¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.