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OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

ActiveAIEnds Jan 1, 2028

The market prices Yes at 43.5% and No at 56.5%.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$1.6K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Chance
Yes 43.5%No 56.5%Yes −9.0pp 1W
OutcomeChance24hTrade on Polymarket
Yes43.5%−1.5Buy Yes 43.5¢
No56.5%+1.5Buy No 56.5¢