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Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

ActiveTech15 outcomesEnds Dec 31, 2026

Anthropic leads at 45.5%, ahead of Google (39.0%) and OpenAI (8.3%).

24h volume
$11.9K
Total volume
$2.5M
Whales
1
Fresh wallets
1
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 15Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Anthropic$347.0K vol45.5%+1.0Buy Yes 45.5¢Buy No 54.5¢
Google$291.5K vol39.0%−0.5Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢
OpenAI$214.5K vol8.3%−0.7Buy Yes 8.3¢Buy No 91.8¢
Meta$186.3K vol2.9%+0.1Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.2¢
xAI$167.2K vol1.7%−0.1Buy Yes 1.7¢Buy No 98.3¢
Alibaba$144.7K vol0.55%−0.1Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢
Z.ai$131.8K vol0.55%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢
DeepSeek$145.4K vol0.45%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.5¢
Moonshot$154.5K vol0.45%+0.1Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.5¢
Mistral$191.0K vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢
Microsoft$117.6K vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢
Amazon$111.2K vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.