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OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms9 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 20-25% leads at 30.0%, ahead of Democrat 15-20% (23.5%) and Democrat 5-10% (20.0%).

24h volume
$19
Total volume
$22.8K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 20-25%$5.8K vol30.0%+1.0Buy Yes 30.0¢Buy No 70.0¢
Democrat 15-20%$4.9K vol23.5%−1.0Buy Yes 23.5¢Buy No 76.5¢
Democrat 5-10%$677 vol20.0%+11.8Buy Yes 20.0¢Buy No 80.0¢
Democrat 10-15%$3.9K vol15.5%−1.5Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢
Democrat 25-30%$2.2K vol14.8%−0.6Buy Yes 14.8¢Buy No 85.3¢
Democrat 30-35%$1.6K vol10.7%+2.6Buy Yes 10.7¢Buy No 89.3¢
Democrat 35%+$1.3K vol3.2%-Buy Yes 3.2¢Buy No 96.8¢
Republican Wins$1.7K vol3.0%−1.9Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢
Democrat 0-5%$644 vol2.2%−0.4Buy Yes 2.2¢Buy No 97.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.