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PA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms9 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 25-30% leads at 33.5%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% (31.0%) and Democrat 20-25% (21.5%).

24h volume
$220
Total volume
$11.8K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 25-30%$4.0K vol33.5%+7.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢
Democrat 30-35%$2.1K vol31.0%+9.0Buy Yes 31.0¢Buy No 69.0¢
Democrat 20-25%$2.2K vol21.5%-Buy Yes 21.5¢Buy No 78.5¢
Democrat 35-40%$1.4K vol13.0%−1.5Buy Yes 13.0¢Buy No 87.0¢
Democrat 10-15%$741 vol6.7%−0.7Buy Yes 6.7¢Buy No 93.3¢
Democrat 15-20%$161 vol3.8%−0.8Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.3¢
Democrat 40%+$747 vol3.0%−0.2Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢
Democrat 0-10%$144 vol2.5%−5.7Buy Yes 2.5¢Buy No 97.5¢
Republican Wins$194 vol0.80%−0.2Buy Yes 0.8¢Buy No 99.2¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.