Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?
25 bps increase leads at 65.5%, ahead of 50+ bps increase (27.5%) and No Change (4.6%).
- 24h volume
- $18
- Total volume
- $17.3K
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the Reserve Bank of India Decision in February market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give 25 bps increase a 66% chance, ahead of 50+ bps increase at 28% and No Change at 5%. 5 outcomes are listed. 25 bps increase has risen from 50% on Oct 30 to 66% now.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $17.3K has been traded in total, $18 of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Feb 5, 2027.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the policy repo rate resulting from the February 2027 meeting of the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its February 2027 meeting, with the decision to be announced on February 5, 2027, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of India calendar (https://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=62422). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its February 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.