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SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 15-20% leads at 30.0%, ahead of Republican 10-15% (29.5%) and Republican 20-25% (16.5%).

24h volume: $20
Total volume: $15.8K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Republican 15-20%$2.0K vol30.0%−0.5Buy Yes 30.0¢Buy No 70.0¢

Republican 10-15%$3.8K vol29.5%-Buy Yes 29.5¢Buy No 70.5¢

Republican 20-25%$3.0K vol16.5%-Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢

Democrat Wins$344 vol9.2%+5.8Buy Yes 9.2¢Buy No 90.8¢

Republican 25-30%$1.7K vol5.5%+0.7Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢

Republican 0-5%$294 vol4.9%+0.1Buy Yes 4.9¢Buy No 95.1¢

Republican 5-10%$2.7K vol4.4%−4.5Buy Yes 4.4¢Buy No 95.6¢

Republican 30%+$2.0K vol4.0%−0.3Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.