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Second-best AI Lab end of December?

ActiveAI21 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic leads at 37.0%, ahead of Google (34.5%) and Meta (16.0%).

24h volume
$836
Total volume
$14.2K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 21Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Anthropic$5.9K vol37.0%+0.5Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢
Google$2.6K vol34.5%+3.0Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢
Meta$1.5K vol16.0%+1.0Buy Yes 16.0¢Buy No 84.0¢
SpaceXAI$352 vol7.6%+1.3Buy Yes 7.6¢Buy No 92.4¢
Baidu$275 vol7.1%−3.8Buy Yes 7.1¢Buy No 92.9¢
Meituan$237 vol5.1%−0.2Buy Yes 5.1¢Buy No 94.9¢
MiniMax$217 vol4.9%−0.1Buy Yes 4.9¢Buy No 95.1¢
Thinky$257 vol4.1%−1.9Buy Yes 4.1¢Buy No 95.9¢
OpenAI$217 vol3.9%−0.1Buy Yes 3.9¢Buy No 96.1¢
ByteDance$285 vol3.6%−0.2Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.3¢
Mistral$258 vol3.3%+0.4Buy Yes 3.3¢Buy No 96.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.