Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Google$4.3K vol29.5%−8.5Buy Yes 29.5¢Buy No 70.5¢

Anthropic$6.4K vol29.0%−9.0Buy Yes 29.0¢Buy No 71.0¢

Meta$533 vol15.5%+3.5Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢

ByteDance$263 vol10.8%+5.4Buy Yes 10.8¢Buy No 89.3¢

SpaceXAI$265 vol10.5%+6.3Buy Yes 10.5¢Buy No 89.5¢

Microsoft$208 vol9.4%+4.0Buy Yes 9.4¢Buy No 90.6¢

MiniMax$391 vol8.1%+0.4Buy Yes 8.1¢Buy No 91.9¢

StepFun$562 vol4.7%+0.1Buy Yes 4.7¢Buy No 95.3¢

Alibaba$213 vol4.0%−0.1Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢

OpenAI$205 vol4.0%−0.1Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢

Z.ai$205 vol3.8%−1.4Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.2¢

Tencent$225 vol3.8%−2.5Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.2¢

Xiaomi$205 vol3.6%-Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.4¢

Amazon$245 vol3.1%−0.5Buy Yes 3.1¢Buy No 96.9¢

DeepSeek$205 vol3.0%−0.3Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢

Thinky$205 vol2.8%−0.5Buy Yes 2.8¢Buy No 97.2¢

Moonshot$205 vol2.1%−2.9Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.9¢

Meituan$205 vol0.55%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Mistral$222 vol0.55%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Baidu$232 vol0.50%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Nvidia$180 vol0.50%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.