Spain General Election: Ceuta Winner
PP leads at 78.5%, ahead of Vox (19.5%) and PSOE (1.6%).
- 24h volume
- $3.2K
- Total volume
- $11.2K
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the Spain General Election: Ceuta Winner market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give PP a 79% chance, ahead of Vox at 20% and PSOE at 2%. 5 outcomes are listed. PP has risen from 45% on Oct 29 to 79% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 12 points.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $11.2K has been traded in total, $3.2K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 30, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the seat in the Congress of Deputies of Spain allocated to the constituency of Ceuta as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows:
PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia.
PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre.
Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands.
ERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia.
Podemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own.
CCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands.
Any other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies.
Electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.