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ActiveOilResolves Aug 31, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily t…

YES

0.4%

NO

99.6%

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

17 tracked

  1. @033033033
    No@ 99.9%·4d ago

    $159.8K

    160,003 shares

  2. @033033033
    No@ 99.9%·6d ago

    $89.9K

    90,000 shares

  3. @033033033
    No@ 99.9%·6d ago

    $89.9K

    90,000 shares

  4. @033033033
    No@ 99.9%·6d ago

    $59.9K

    60,000 shares

  5. @033033033
    No@ 99.9%·6d ago

    $55.9K

    55,954 shares

  6. @033033033
    No@ 99.9%·6d ago

    $25.0K

    24,978 shares

  7. @SleeperHunter
    No@ 98.0%·6d ago

    $24.5K

    25,000 shares

  8. @x0000
    No@ 98.3%·6d ago

    $22.1K

    22,448 shares

  9. @033033033
    No@ 99.9%·3d ago

    $14.7K

    14,716 shares

  10. @033033033
    No@ 99.9%·2d ago

    $11.3K

    11,304 shares

  11. @The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
    No@ 98.9%·2d ago

    $10.3K

    10,464 shares

  12. @033033033
    No@ 99.9%·6d ago

    $10.0K

    10,000 shares

  13. @033033033
    No@ 99.9%·6d ago

    $10.0K

    10,000 shares

  14. @afdafdafdafdafd
    No@ 99.1%·2d ago

    $7.8K

    7,854 shares

  15. @afdafdafdafdafd
    No@ 98.0%·6d ago

    $7.5K

    7,662 shares

  16. @033033033
    No@ 99.9%·6d ago

    $6.0K

    6,000 shares

  17. @10000Bets
    No@ 98.8%·3d ago

    $5.9K

    6,000 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

  1. @50000x
    No@ 99.5%·1h ago

    $8

  2. @Elias.Thornwell
    No@ 99.6%·1h ago

    $38

  3. 0xe9f7…179b
    No@ 99.5%·1h ago

    $10

  4. 0xe9f7…179b
    No@ 99.6%·1h ago

    $10

  5. 0x6728…a070
    No@ 99.5%·1h ago

    $10

  6. 0xdd6f…9180
    Yes@ 0.5%·1h ago

    $1

  7. @Amaterasu-6
    No@ 99.5%·2h ago

    $50

  8. 0xe9f7…179b
    No@ 99.5%·2h ago

    $13

  9. 0xe9f7…179b
    No@ 99.6%·2h ago

    $13

  10. @antiboomchik
    Yes@ 0.4%·2h ago

    $1

  11. 0xe9f7…179b
    No@ 99.5%·2h ago

    $13

  12. 0xe9f7…179b
    No@ 99.6%·2h ago

    $13

  13. @med12
    Yes@ 0.5%·2h ago

    $1

  14. 0x6273…8bc1
    No@ 99.5%·2h ago

    $6

  15. 0x6273…8bc1
    No@ 99.6%·2h ago

    $6

  16. 0x6273…8bc1
    No@ 99.5%·2h ago

    $12

  17. 0x6273…8bc1
    No@ 99.6%·2h ago

    $12

  18. 0x6273…8bc1
    No@ 99.5%·2h ago

    $12

  19. 0x6273…8bc1
    No@ 99.6%·2h ago

    $12

  20. 0x6273…8bc1
    No@ 99.5%·2h ago

    $10

  21. 0x6273…8bc1
    No@ 99.6%·2h ago

    $10

  22. 0x1664…c71c
    No@ 99.5%·2h ago

    $193

  23. @edlockbs
    Yes@ 0.4%·2h ago

    $2

  24. 0x1664…c71c
    No@ 99.6%·2h ago

    $194

  25. 0x6273…8bc1
    No@ 99.5%·3h ago

    $13

About this market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Oil category, resolving on Aug 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 0.4% and NO at 99.6%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 17 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $159.8K on a total market volume of $22.58M. Last 24-hour volume: $198.4K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →