Third-best AI Lab end of December?

Meta$5.7K vol40.0%−2.5Buy Yes 40.0¢Buy No 60.0¢

Anthropic$3.8K vol18.5%−1.0Buy Yes 18.5¢Buy No 81.5¢

Google$1.8K vol18.5%−0.5Buy Yes 18.5¢Buy No 81.5¢

Alibaba$530 vol7.0%−1.1Buy Yes 7.0¢Buy No 93.0¢

Moonshot$3.5K vol6.0%−2.0Buy Yes 6.0¢Buy No 94.0¢

Tencent$354 vol4.9%−0.1Buy Yes 4.9¢Buy No 95.1¢

DeepSeek$387 vol3.6%-Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.3¢

Thinky$408 vol3.4%-Buy Yes 3.4¢Buy No 96.7¢

Mistral$236 vol3.1%-Buy Yes 3.1¢Buy No 96.8¢

SpaceXAI$407 vol2.8%+0.8Buy Yes 2.8¢Buy No 97.2¢

OpenAI$402 vol2.5%-Buy Yes 2.5¢Buy No 97.5¢

ByteDance$378 vol2.4%-Buy Yes 2.4¢Buy No 97.7¢

Xiaomi$432 vol2.1%−0.4Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.8¢

Z.ai$384 vol0.70%-Buy Yes 0.7¢Buy No 99.3¢

Baidu$328 vol0.55%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Meituan$339 vol0.55%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Microsoft$358 vol0.55%+0.1Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Nvidia$359 vol0.50%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

MiniMax$342 vol0.50%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Amazon$359 vol0.30%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.7¢

StepFun$323 vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.