Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Meta$1.9K vol21.5%−8.5Buy Yes 21.5¢Buy No 78.5¢

Anthropic$4.2K vol17.5%+4.5Buy Yes 17.5¢Buy No 82.5¢

Google$5.7K vol16.5%−1.0Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢

Z.ai$1.1K vol7.0%−2.5Buy Yes 7.0¢Buy No 93.0¢

OpenAI$626 vol6.4%−7.6Buy Yes 6.4¢Buy No 93.6¢

Alibaba$2.4K vol4.0%−11.5Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢

Moonshot$235 vol2.1%−0.4Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.9¢

Bytedance$580 vol2.1%−1.9Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.9¢

DeepSeek$646 vol2.1%−1.1Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 98.0¢

Thinky$240 vol1.8%−1.6Buy Yes 1.8¢Buy No 98.3¢

SpaceXAI$380 vol1.7%−3.2Buy Yes 1.7¢Buy No 98.3¢

Xiaomi$350 vol1.5%−1.8Buy Yes 1.5¢Buy No 98.5¢

Baidu$320 vol1.2%−0.3Buy Yes 1.2¢Buy No 98.8¢

Tencent$408 vol0.60%−3.4Buy Yes 0.6¢Buy No 99.4¢

Nvidia$188 vol0.50%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Amazon$172 vol0.50%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Mistral$241 vol0.50%−0.1Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

StepFun$205 vol0.50%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Microsoft$232 vol0.50%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

MiniMax$259 vol0.30%−0.1Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.7¢

Meituan$214 vol0.30%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.