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TN-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms9 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Republican 20-25% leads at 39.5%, ahead of Republican 25-30% (38.3%) and Republican 5-10% (38.3%).

24h volume
$111
Total volume
$1.0K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 20-25%39.5%+2.1Buy Yes 39.5¢Buy No 60.5¢
Republican 25-30%$50 vol38.3%+0.1Buy Yes 38.3¢Buy No 61.8¢
Republican 5-10%$50 vol38.3%-Buy Yes 38.3¢Buy No 61.8¢
Republican 30-35%37.4%−0.8Buy Yes 37.4¢Buy No 62.6¢
Republican 15-20%$40 vol36.4%−1.3Buy Yes 36.4¢Buy No 63.6¢
Republican 10-15%$364 vol20.0%−4.6Buy Yes 20.0¢Buy No 80.0¢
Republican 35%+$90 vol19.7%+0.6Buy Yes 19.7¢Buy No 80.3¢
Democrat Wins$191 vol2.1%−32.8Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.9¢
Republican 0-5%$217 vol0.60%-Buy Yes 0.6¢Buy No 99.4¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.