Tusk out by December 31?
The market prices Yes at 6.0% and No at 94.0%.
- 24h volume
- $2.0K
- Total volume
- $37.0K
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
What are the odds on "Tusk out by December 31"?
Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 94%. Over the last 24 hours it is up 1.0 point.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $37.0K has been traded in total, $2.0K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Tusk ceases to be Prime Minister of the Republic of Poland for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Tusk's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Tusk and the government of Poland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.